GOP lead in congressional poll hits 25-year-high ahead of midterms

The leaked Supreme Court draft opinion which indicated the court would overturn Roe v. Wade and return abortion to the states has energized the far left, but not rank-and-file Democrats, a new poll shows.

In fact, according to the CNN/SSRS poll, the GOP actually gained ground on the generic congressional ballot after the leak — giving them their biggest lead in 25 years. 

When asked who they would vote for in this year’s congressional midterms, 49 percent of respondents said the GOP candidate, while 42 percent said they would be voting Democratic.

While the margin of error in the poll is 4.5 points, the 7-point lead equals largest the GOP has ever had in the poll — at least per the results provided by CNN in their press release, which goes back to 1997.

The last time the Republicans hit a 7-point lead was in September of 2010, just before the wave midterms which saw record GOP gains in Congress, largely thanks to then-President Barack Obama’s handling of the economy and the unpopularity of Obamacare.

What’s more, a poll taken just before the leak showed the GOP with only a 1-point lead.

In that survey, taken between April 28 and May 1, Republicans were at 45 percent on the generic congressional ballot, while Democrats were at 44 percent.

The draft opinion was leaked by Politico on May 2 — right in between the two polls.

In an article accompanying the numbers, CNN argued that “Americans remain broadly opposed to overturning the Roe v. Wade decision that legalized abortion nationwide.”

However, they noted that“comparing the results of the new poll to one conducted immediately before the revelation of the draft opinion, the impact on the political landscape heading into the 2022 midterms appears fairly muted.”

And, despite the wave of protests that was breathlessly covered by the mainstream media in the wake of the draft opinion leak, Republicans were actually far more energized to go to the polls this November.

“The share of registered voters who say they are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting this fall rose 6 points between the first survey and the second, but that increase is about even across party lines,” CNN’s article noted.

“Among Democrats, 43% now say they are extremely or very enthusiastic, up 7 points. Among Republicans, it’s 56%, up 9 points. And voters who say overturning Roe would make them ‘happy’ are nearly twice as enthusiastic about voting this fall as those who say such a ruling would leave them ‘angry’ (38% extremely enthusiastic among those happy, 20% among those angry).”

If it’s not abortion, what’s driving the numbers? CNN claims it’s the poor economy under President Joe Biden’s administration, with a significant plurality of voters preferring the Republican Party’s positions over the Democrats, 46 percent to 31 percent.

Furthermore, only 49 percent of said they’d heard a “great deal” or “good amount” about the draft leak, with 51 percent saying they’d heard “just some or nothing at all about it.”

However, it’s worth noting the only thing that changed between the two polls is the Supreme Court leak — and the GOP’s lead jumped from 1 point to 7 points. Liberals counting on anger over abortion to dominate the midterms should take note.